Different methods of electricity generation can incur a variety of different costs, which can be divided into three general categories: 1) wholesale costs, or all costs paid by utilities associated with acquiring and distributing electricity to consumers, 2) retail costs paid by consumers, and 3) external costs, or Externality, imposed on society.
Wholesale costs include initial capital, operations and maintenance (O&M), transmission, and costs of decommissioning. Depending on the local regulatory environment, some or all wholesale costs may be passed through to consumers. These are costs per unit of energy, typically represented as dollars/megawatt hour (wholesale). The calculations also assist governments in making decisions regarding energy policy.
On average the levelized cost of electricity from utility scale solar power and Wind power is less than from coal and gas-fired power stations, but this varies greatly by location.
A cost factor unique to storage are losses that occur due to inherent inefficiencies of storing electricity, as well as increased emissions if any component of the primary source is less than 100% carbon-free. In the US, a comprehensive 2015 study found that net system emissions resulting from storage operation are nontrivial when compared to the emissions from electricity generation in, ranging from 104 to 407 kg/MWh of delivered energy depending on location, storage operation mode, and assumptions regarding carbon intensity.
In 2014, the US Energy Information Administration recommendedUS Energy Information Administration, Levelized Cost and Levelized Avoided Cost of New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy Outlook 2014, April 2014. that levelized costs of non-dispatchable sources such as wind or solar be compared to the "levelized avoided cost of energy" (LACE) rather than to the LCOE of dispatchable sources such as fossil fuels or geothermal. LACE is the avoided costs from other sources divided by the annual yearly output of the non-dispatchable source.This is an example. The EIA hypothesized that fluctuating power sources might not avoid capital and maintenance costs of backup dispatchable sources. The ratio of LACE to LCOE is referred to as the value-cost ratio. When LACE (value) is greater than LCOE (cost), then value-cost ratio is greater than 1, and the project is considered economically feasible.EIA 2021 Levelized Costs of New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy Outlook 2021
Typically, the more of a single type of renewable that is built in a pricing area (such as Great Britain) the lower the capture rate will become for that type. For example, if many wind farms generate a lot at the same time the price at that time will go down. There can be curtailment if grid connectivity is lacking across the pricing area – for example from wind power in Scotland to consumers in England – resulting in the capture rate not reflecting the true cost.
To evaluate the total cost of production of electricity, the streams of costs are converted to a net present value using the time value of money. These costs are all brought together using discounted cash flow.
Real life costs can diverge significantly from those estimates. Olkiluoto block 3, which achieved first criticality in late 2021 had an overnight cost to the construction consortium (the utility paid a fixed price agreed to when the deal was signed of only 3.2 billion euros) of and a net electricity capacity of 1.6 GW or per kW of capacity. Meanwhile Darlington Nuclear Generating Station in Canada had an overnight cost of for a net electric capacity of 3512 MW or per kW of capacity. "Final and Total Capital Costs of the Darlington Nuclear Generating Station" , Ontario Power Generation, 27 April 2004.
The oft cited figure of – which works out to per kW of capacity – includes interest (a particularly high cost in this case as the utility had to borrow at market rates and had to absorb the cost of delays in construction) and is thus not an "overnight cost". Furthermore, there is the issue of comparability of different sources of power, as can be as low as 10–20% for some wind and solar applications reaching into the 50% range for offshore wind and finally above 90% for the most reliable nuclear power plants.
The average capacity factor of all commercial nuclear power plants in the world in 2020 was 80.3% (83.1% the prior year) but this includes outdated Generation II nuclear power plants and countries like France which run their nuclear power plants load following which reduces the capacity factor. Peaking power plants have particularly low capacity factors but make up for it by selling electricity at the highest possible price when supply does not meet demand otherwise.
The first German Offshore Wind Park Alpha Ventus Offshore Wind Farm with a nameplate capacity of 60 MW cost , after an initial estimate of . In 2012, it produced 268 GWh of electricity, achieving a capacity factor of just over 50%. If the overnight cost is calculated for the nameplate capacity, it works out to per kW whereas if one takes into account the capacity factor, the figure needs to be roughly doubled.
Geothermal power is unique among renewables in that it usually has a low above-ground impact and is capable of baseload power generation as well as combined heat and power. However, depending on the plant and conditions underground naturally occurring radioactive materials such as radon may be released into the air. This partially offsets relatively high costs per capacity which were cited as for the 45 MW first phase of Þeistareykir Geothermal Power Station and a total of for the 90 MW combined two first phases. This gives a cost per kW of capacity of if only the first phase is considered and if the cost estimates for both phases together hold. The source also calls this power plant uniquely cost effective for geothermal power and the unique geology of Iceland makes the country one of the largest producers of geothermal power worldwide and by far the largest per capita or relative to all energy consumed.
Block 5 of Irsching Power Station in Southern Germany uses natural gas as fuel in a combined cycle, converting 1,750 megawatts of thermal energy to 847 net MW of usable electricity. It cost to build. This works out to some per kW of capacity. However, due to the uneconomical prospect of operating it as a peaking power plant, the owners, soon after opening the plant in 2010, wanted to shut down the plant.
The LCOE of floating wind power increases with the distance from shore.
The Lieberose Photovoltaic Park – one of the largest in Germany – had a nameplate capacity at opening of 52.79 megawatt and cost some to build or per kW. With a yearly output of some 52 GWh (equivalent to just over 5.9 MW) it has a capacity factor just over 11%. The figure was again cited when the solar park was sold in 2010.
The world's largest solar farm to date (2022) in Rajasthan, India – Bhadla Solar Park – has a total nameplate capacity of 2255 MW and cost a total of 98.5 billion to build. This works out to roughly 43681 rupees () per kW.
As can be seen by these numbers, costs vary wildly even for the same source of electricity from place to place or time to time and depending on whether interest is included in total cost. Furthermore, capacity factors and the intermittency of certain power sources further complicate calculations. Another issue that is often omitted in discussions is the lifespan of various power plants – some of the oldest hydropower plants have existed for over a century, and nuclear power plants going on five or six decades of continuous operation are no rarity. However, many wind turbines of the first generation have already been torn down as they can no longer compete with more modern wind turbines and/or no longer fit into the current regulatory environment. Some of them were not even twenty-five years old. Solar panels exhibit a certain ageing, which limits their useful lifetime, but real world data does not yet exist for the expected lifetime of the latest models.
As sovereign debt in high income countries is usually to be had at lower interest rates than private loans, nuclear and renewable power become significantly cheaper – also compared to fossil alternatives – the bigger the involvement of state investment or state guarantees. In the Global South, where interest rates tend to be higher, the shorter construction period of small scale projects (particularly wind and solar) partially compensates for their increased capital cost. In terms of import substitution, solar can be particularly attractive in replacing bunker oil or diesel generators for rural electrification as it needs no imported hydrocarbons and as it allows hydrocarbon resources (where available) to be exported instead.
Short-term fluctuations in fuel prices can have significant effects on the cost of energy generation in natural gas and oil fired power plants and to a lesser extent for coal fired power plants. As renewable energies need no fuel, their costs are independent of world markets for fuels once built. Coal-fired power plants are often supplied with locally or at least domestically available coal – this is especially true for lignite whose low grade and high moisture content make transporting it over long distances uneconomical – and are thus less subject to the influence of world markets. If there is a carbon tax or other forms of Carbon price, this can have a significant impact on the economic viability of fossil fuelled power plants. Due to the ease of stockpiling uranium and the rarity of refuelling (most Pressurized Water Reactors will change about a quarter to a third of their fuel loading every one and a half to two years), short term fluctuations in world uranium prices are a risk absorbed by fuel suppliers, not power plant operators. However, long-term trends in uranium price can have an effect of a few tenths of a cent to a cent or two per kilowatt-hour on the final price of nuclear energy.
The biggest factor in the operating costs of both nuclear and renewable are local wages – in most cases those need to be paid regardless of whether the plant is operating at full capacity or putting out only a fraction of its nameplate capacity and thus those plants are usually run to as high a fraction of their capacity as the market () and weather (avoiding overheating rivers with cooling water, availability of sun or wind...) allow.
However, in France the nuclear power plants which provide some 70% of electricity demand are run load following to stabilize the grid. As a lot of home heating in France is supplied via electric means ( and resistive heating), there is a notable seasonality to nuclear energy generation in France with planned outages usually scheduled for the lower demand summer period, which also coincides with school holidays in France.
In Germany some two decades old and older were shut down after no longer receiving renewable energy subsidies due to a reported market-rate electricity price of some per kWh not covering marginal costs or only covering them as long as no major maintenance was needed. By contrast after being fully depreciated, Germany's (then remaining) nuclear power plants were described in media reports throughout the 2010s and into the early 2020s as highly profitable for their operators even without direct government subsidy.
Ramp-up, how fast the power can be increased or decreased, may be quicker for more modern nuclear and the economics of nuclear power plants differ.
Nevertheless, capital intensive technologies such as wind, solar, and nuclear are economically disadvantaged unless generating at maximum availability since the LCOE is nearly all sunk-cost capital investment. Grids with very large amounts of intermittent power sources, such as wind and solar, may incur extra costs associated with needing to have storage or backup generation available. At the same time, intermittent sources can be even more competitive if they are available to produce when demand and prices are highest, such as solar during summertime mid-day peaks seen in hot countries where air conditioning is a major consumer. Open access
Another limitation of the LCOE metric is the influence of energy efficiency and conservation (EEC).
In the 2010s EEC caused the electricity demand of many countries, such as the US, to remain flat or decline. For solar systems installed at the point of end use, it may be more economical to invest in EEC first, then solar, or both at the same time. This results in a smaller required solar system than what would be needed without the EEC measures. However, designing a solar system on the basis of LCOE would cause the smaller system LCOE to increase, as the energy generation drops faster than the system cost.
The whole of system life cycle cost should be considered, not just the LCOE of the energy source. LCOE is not as relevant to end-users than other financial considerations such as income, cashflow, mortgage, leases, rent, and electricity bills. Comparing solar investments in relation to these can make it easier for end-users to make a decision, or using cost-benefit calculations "and/or an asset's capacity value or contribution to peak on a system or circuit level".
Solar panel performance is usually guaranteed for 25 years and sometimes 30. According to a 2021 Harvard Business Review study costs of recycling solar panels will reach $20–30 per panel in 2035, which would increase the LCOE fourfold for PV solar power but only if panels are replaced after 15 years rather than the expected 30 years. If panels are replaced early this presents a significant policy challenge because if the recycling is made legal duty of the manufacturers (as it already is in the EU) it will dramatically reduce profit margins on this already competitive market.
A 2021 IEA study of repairing old panels to reuse rather than recycle them concluded that the financial viability depends on country specific factors such as grid tariffs, but that reuse is only likely for utility solar, as rooftop owners will want to make best use of space with more efficient new panels.
A 1995 to 2005 EU funded research study known as ExternE, or Externality of Energy, found that the cost of producing electricity from coal or oil would double over its present value, and the cost of electricity production from gas would increase by 30% if external costs such as damage to the environment and to human health, from the particulate matter, nitrogen oxides, chromium VI, river water alkali soils, mercury poisoning and arsenic emissions produced by these sources, were taken into account. It was estimated in the study that these external, downstream, fossil fuel costs amount up to 1–2% of the EU's entire Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and this was before the external cost of global warming from these sources was even included. ExternE-Pol, External costs of current and advanced electricity systems, associated with emissions from the operation of power plants and with the rest of the energy chain, final technical report. See figure 9, 9b and figure 11
Coal has the highest external cost in the EU, and global warming is the largest part of that cost." Subsidies and costs of EU energy. Project number: DESNL14583" Pages: 52. EcoFys, 10 October 2014. Accessed: 20 October 2014. Size: 70 pages in 2MB. Sustainable energy avoids or greatly reduces future costs to society, such as respiratory illnesses. In 2022 the EU created a green taxonomy to indicate which energy investments reduce such external costs.
A means to address a part of the external costs of fossil fuel generation is carbon pricing — the method most favoured by economists for reducing global-warming emissions. Carbon pricing charges those who emit carbon dioxide for their emissions. That charge, called a "carbon price", is the amount that must be paid for the right to emit one tonne of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Carbon pricing usually takes the form of a carbon tax or a requirement to purchase permits to emit (also called "allowances").
Depending on the assumptions of possible accidents and their probabilities external costs for nuclear power vary significantly and can reach between 0.2 and 200 ct/kWh.Viktor Wesselak, Thomas Schabbach, Thomas Link, Joachim Fischer: Regenerative Energietechnik. Springer 2013, , p. 27. Furthermore, nuclear power is working under an insurance framework that limits or structures accident liabilities in accordance with the Paris convention on nuclear third-party liability, the Brussels supplementary convention, and the Vienna convention on civil liability for nuclear damage Publications: Vienna Convention on Civil Liability for Nuclear Damage. International Atomic Energy Agency. and in the US the Price-Anderson Act. It is often argued that this potential shortfall in liability represents an external cost not included in the cost of nuclear electricity; but the cost is small, amounting to about 0.1% of the levelized cost of electricity, according to a 2008 study. Nuclear Power's Role in Generating Electricity Congressional Budget Office, May 2008.
These beyond-insurance costs for worst-case scenarios are not unique to nuclear power, as hydroelectric power plants are similarly not fully insured against catastrophic events like a large dam failure. As private insurers base dam insurance premiums on limited scenarios, major disaster insurance in this sector is likewise provided by the state. Availability of Dam Insurance 1999
Because externalities are diffuse in their effect, external costs cannot be measured directly, but must be estimated.
Other non-financial factors may include:
This study provides a model LFSCOE-95 which assumes 95% of generation is from the stated generation method and 5% is from alternative dispatchable generation methods. Also provided is a model LFSCOE-100 which assumes 100% of generation is from a stated generation method.
In Germany, the bidding processes that have been carried out since 2017 have led to significant cost reductions. In one bid for offshore wind farms, at least one bidder dispensed entirely with public subsidies and was prepared to finance the project through the market alone. The highest subsidy price that was still awarded was 6.00 ct/kWh. In a bid for onshore wind farm projects, an average payment of 5.71 ct/kWh was achieved, and 4.29 ct/kWh in a second bidding round.
In 2019, there were bids for new offshore wind farms in the United Kingdom, with costs as low as 3.96 pence per kWh (4.47 ct).
In 2019, there were bids in Portugal for photovoltaic plants, where the price for the cheapest project is 1.476 ct/kWh.
The publication of data has attracted several comments. Some have expressed concern that the values for renewables do not account for the additional costs associated with the necessary balancing of the system. Some have also noted the dispatchability issues inherent to renewables, which affect their ability to independently support the power grid. In addition, the economics of coal may be negatively impacted by the less frequent operation of coal-fired power plants as a result of the Merit order on the grid.
Others have pointed out that the reported costs for coal do not account for the significant, multi-billion-dollar government subsidies for unprofitable coal mines as part of the government's commitment to a just transition policy. Some have remarked that the reported cost of coal also reflects cheaper imported coal in addition to more expensive domestically produced coal.
For a small household plant that can produce around 3 MWh/year, the cost is between 400 and €700/MWh, depending on location. Solar power was by far the most expensive renewable source of electricity among the technologies studied, although increasing efficiency and longer lifespan of photovoltaic panels together with reduced production costs have made this source of energy more competitive since 2011. By 2017, the cost of photovoltaic solar power had decreased to less than €50/MWh.
For ground-mounted PV with battery storage systems, investment costs for battery storage of 500 to 700 EUR/kWh were assumed. The prices for smaller systems are in part lower, as these are standardized products, whereas larger battery systems tend to be individualized projects that additionally incur costs for project development, project management, and infrastructure. The range of investment costs is smaller for the larger sizes, as there is more competitive pressure.
In 2011, Masayoshi Son, an advocate for renewable energy, pointed out that the government estimates for nuclear power did not include the costs for reprocessing the fuel or disaster insurance liability. Son estimated that if these costs were included, the cost of nuclear power was about the same as wind power.Johnston, Eric, " Son's quest for sun, wind has nuclear interests wary", Japan Times, 12 July 2011, p. 3.Bird, Winifred, " Powering Japan's future", Japan Times, 24 July 2011, p. 7.Johnston, Eric, " Current nuclear debate to set nation's course for decades", Japan Times, 23 September 2011, p. 1.
In 2020, the cost of solar in Japan has decreased to between ¥13.1/kWh to ¥21.3/kWh (on average, ¥15.3/kWh, or $0.142/kWh).
The cost of a solar PV module make up the largest part of the total investment costs. As per the 2021 analysis of Solar Power Generation Costs in Japan, module unit prices fell sharply. In 2018, the average price was close to 60,000 yen/kW, but by 2021 it is estimated at 30,000 yen/kW, so cost is reduced by almost half.
The following data are from the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook released in 2020 (AEO2020). They are in dollars per megawatt-hour (2019 USD/MWh). These figures are estimates for plants going into service in 2025, exclusive of tax credits, subsidies, or other incentives. The LCOE below is calculated based on a 30-year recovery period using a real after tax weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.1%. For carbon intensive technologies 3 percentage points are added to the WACC. (This is approximately equivalent to a fee of $15 per metric ton of carbon dioxide .) Federal tax credits and various state and local incentive programs would be expected to reduce some of these LCOE values. For example, EIA expects the federal investment tax credit program to reduce the capacity weighted average LCOE of solar PV built in 2025 by an additional $2.41, to $30.39.
The electricity sources which had the most decrease in estimated costs over the period 2010 to 2019 were solar photovoltaic (down 88%), onshore wind (down 71%) and advanced natural gas combined cycle (down 49%).
For utility-scale generation put into service in 2040, the EIA estimated in 2015 that there would be further reductions in the constant-dollar cost of concentrated solar power (CSP) (down 18%), solar photovoltaic (down 15%), offshore wind (down 11%), and advanced nuclear (down 7%). The cost of onshore wind was expected to rise slightly (up 2%) by 2040, while natural gas combined cycle electricity was expected to increase 9% to 10% over the period.US Energy Information Administration, Levelized cost and levelized avoided cost of new generation resources in the Annual Energy Outlook 2015, 14 April 2015
Levelized avoided cost of electricity
Value-adjusted levelized cost of electricity
Capture rate
Cost factors
Capital costs
+ Cost per kW
! Type
! US EIA
! US NREL
! $/MWh
! Capacity factor 94% 18–48% 29–52% 11–52% 49–63% 12–30% 20–31% 8–42% 31–66% 64% 80–90%
Operations and maintenance (O&M) costs
Market matching costs
External costs of energy sources
International trade
Additional cost factors
Global studies
+Global levelized cost of generation (US$ per MWh)
!
!IPCC 2014
(at 5% Discounting)
!IRENA 2020
!NEA 2020
(at 7% discounting)
!BNEF 2021
!Lazard 2023(US-only)
Bank of America (2023)
+Levelized full system cost of electricity (LFSCOE, Bank of America 2022)
!
!EIA LCOE (2020)
USD$/MWh
!LFSCOE-95
(Germany, EU)
USD$/MWh
!LFSCOE-95
(Texas, US)
USD$/MWh
!LFSCOE-100
(Germany, EU)
USD$/MWh
!LFSCOE-100
(Texas, US)
USD$/MWhBiomass 95 90 95 104 117 Coal (ultra-supercritical) 76 67 72 78 90 Natural Gas (combined cycle) 38 31 32 35 40 Natural Gas (combustion turbine) 67 36 37 39 42 Nuclear 82 90 96 106 122 Solar 36 849 177 1548 413 Wind 40 279 131 504 291 Wind and Solar not supplied 220 97 454 225
BNEF (2021)
IEA & OECD NEA (2020)
Lazard (2020-2023)
IPCC (2014)
Regional studies
Australia
+Australia LCoE 2020
!Source
!Solar
!Wind onshore
!Gas
!Wind plus storage
!Solar plus storage
!Storage (4hr)
!Gas peaker 47 58 81 87 118 156 228
Europe
Poland
+ Levelized technical unit costs of electricity generation by source;
per MWh
! rowspan="2"
! colspan="3"Q1–Q3 2024
Britain
France
+ French LCOE in €/MWh (2017)
! Technology Cost in 2017 50 Nuclear EPR 100 60 43.24
Germany
The LCOE for PV battery systems refers to the total amount of energy produced by the PV system minus storage losses. The storage losses are calculated based on the capacity of the battery storage, the assumed number of charge cycle and the efficiency of the battery. The results include differences in PV costs, battery costs (500 to 1200 EUR/kWh), and varying solar irradiation. For larger rooftop PV systems with battery storage, the battery costs between 600 and 1000 EUR/kWh.
+Levelized cost of electricity of energy technologies (€/MWh)
!
!2012
!2013
!2018
!2021 +Levelized cost of electricity of PV with battery storage (€/MWh)
!
!2021 PV rooftop (small, battery 1:1) 140.5 PV rooftop (large, battery 2:1) 104.9 PV ground (utility, battery 3:2) 75.8
Middle East
+Average capacity factor and LCOE of wind and PV electricity resources in the Middle East
!rowspan=2 Year
!colspan=2 Capacity factor
!colspan=2 LCOE ($/MWh)
Turkey
for projects starting generating electricity in Turkey from renewable energy in Turkey in July [[feed-in-tariffs|Feed-in tariff]] in [[lira|Turkish lira]] per kWh are: wind and solar 0.32, hydro 0.4, geothermal 0.54, and various rates for different types of biomass: for all these there is also a bonus of 0.08 per kWh if local components are used. Tariffs will apply for 10 years and the local bonus for 5 years. Rates are determined by the presidency, and the scheme replaces the previous USD-denominated feed-in-tariffs for renewable energy.
Japan
United States
Energy Information Administration (2020)
Note: Projected LCOE are adjusted for inflation and calculated on constant dollars based on two years prior to the release year of the estimate.+ Historical summary of EIA's LCOE projections (2010–2020)
! style="background:#edf3fe;" colspan=3 Estimate in $/MWh
! style="background:#edf3fe;" rowspan=2 data-sort-type="number" Coal
convent'l
! style="background:#edf3fe;" colspan=2Nat. gas combined cycle
! style="background:#edf3fe;" rowspan=2 Nuclear
advanced
! style="background:#edf3fe;" colspan=2Wind
! style="background:#edf3fe;" colspan=2 Solar ! style="background:#edf3fe;" data-sort-type="number">of year
! style="background:#edf3fe;" ref
! style="background:#edf3fe;" data-sort-type="number" for year
! style="background:#edf3fe;" data-sort-type="number" convent'l
! style="background:#edf3fe;" data-sort-type="number" advanced
! style="background:#edf3fe; width:70px;" data-sort-type="number" onshore
! style="background:#edf3fe; width:70px;" data-sort-type="number" offshore
! style="background:#edf3fe; width:70px;" data-sort-type="number" PV
! style="background:#edf3fe; width:70px;" data-sort-type="number" CSP
256.6 312.2 242.0 261.5 243.1 239.7 235.9 NB NB NB NA
Estimates given without any subsidies. Transmission cost for non-dispatchable sources are on average much higher.
NB = "Not built" (No capacity additions are expected.)
See also
Further reading
Notes
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